The maximum temperature throughout the country is likely to be more than the average and the rainfall also less than the average in most parts of the country during the winter this year.
Generally, by average rainfall/average temperature is understood the rainfall and temperature of a place for a long time (1991 to 2020). The average rainfall and temperature over this period in Nepal is 33.3 to 66.6 percent.
Likewise, by less than the average rainfall/temperature is understood as less than 33.3 percent and by more than average is understood as more than 66.6 percent rainfall/temperature.
The Department of Hydrology and Meteorology stated that the Sudurpaschim province and the districts of Lumbini Province, except Rukum West, Rolpa and Pyuthan, the central and eastern districts of Gandaki Province, including Lamjung, Syangja, Tanahun, Gorakha, among others, Dolakha of Bagmati Province and the northern districts of Province No 1, including Taplejung, Sankhuwasabha and Solukhumbu will experience the average minimum temperature whereas the rest of the regions will experience more than the average temperature.
The Department under the Ministry of Energy, Water Resources and Irrigation has made public the estimation of the rainfall and temperature during the winter (December 1 to March 28), informed Senior Meteorologist at the Department, Indira Kandel.
According to the Department, most places of the country will likely receive less than the average rainfall in the winter.
Estimation of rainfall
The possibility of less than average rainfall is 45 to 55 percent in the eastern and Terai districts of Province No 1, including Taplejung, Panchthar, Tehrathum, Ilam, Jhapa, Morang and Sunsari, the western parts of the Madhes Province including Parsa, Bara, Rautahat among other districts, and Kathmandu, Bhaktapur, Lalitpur, Nuwakot, Makawanpur, among other districts, the central and southern districts as Kaski, Syangja and Parbat of the Gandaki Province, most of the districts of Lumbini Province and Darchula, Baitadi, Dadeldhura, Doti, Kanchanpur and Kailali in the Sudurpaschim Province.
Similarly, the possibility of less than average rainfall is 35 to 45 percent in rest of the parts of the country except in Bajhang and Bajura districts of Sudurpaschim Province, north-western part of Humla, Mugu and Dolpa in Karnali Province.
Estimation of maximum temperature
Likewise, the maximum temperature is likely to be more than the average throughout the country this winter, meteorologist Kandel said.
The possibility of the maximum temperature being more than the average is from 55 to 65 percent in the western parts of Humla and Mugu of Karnali Province and Bajura district of Sudurpaschim Province.
The chances of the maximum temperature being over the average temperature is 45 to 55 percent in Solukhumbu and Ilam, Jhapa, Morang and Sunsari of Province No 1, in Kavrepalanchok, Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Nuwakot, Makawanpur, Chitwan of Bagmati Province, Parsa and Saptari districts of Madhes Province, most of the districts of Gandaki Province except the north-eastern ones, most parts of Lumbini Province and the eastern and northern parts of Karnali Province.
The possibility of the maximum temperature becoming more than the average is 35 to 45 percent in the rest of the regions of the country.
Estimation of minimum temperature
The possibility of the average minimum temperature is 35 to 45 percent in Sudurpaschim Province, in districts of Lumbini Province except Rukum West, Rolpa and Pyuthan, in central and eastern districts of Gandaki Province, including Lamjung, Syangja, Tanahu and Gorkha, Dolakaha of Bagmati Province and the northern districts including Taplejung, Sankhuwasabha and Solukhumbu of Province No 1 and the rest of the parts.